石油设备网讯 据世界能源新闻网 2019年3月10日莫斯科报道,一份最新报告称,由于天然气供应增速超过国内需求,俄罗斯能够增加对欧洲的管道天然气和液化天然气(LNG)出口。
挪威著名独立能源研究和商业情报公司雷斯塔能源公司(Rystad Energy)日前发表的一份新报告显示,俄罗斯天然气产量自2015年6110亿立方米的低点以来一直在稳步增长,并在2018年达到了6950亿立方米
俄罗斯成熟气田如今表现出相对较高的递减率,但在亚马尔、东西伯利亚和远东地区的最近启动和发现的天然气数量预计将会抵消这一降幅。2018年,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(俄气/Gazprom)在博万科夫斯科耶气田启用了第三个生产设施,使其稳产期年产能增至1150亿立方米。
俄气时下还在努力开发Kharasaveyskoye气田(预计今年将增加320亿立方米天然气)和Semakovskoye气田(预计今年将增加160亿立方米天然气)。
俄罗斯国内天然气需求预计将从2018年的4300亿立方米增至2030年的略高于4400亿立方米。随着产量的增长,俄罗斯天然气出口也呈现出增长的趋势。
去年,俄气出口了大约2020亿立方米天然气,其中大部分销往欧洲。到2030年,随着俄气增加对欧洲、亚洲和中东的管道出口能力,俄罗斯通过管道出口天然气有望达到2700亿立方米。
为了支持未来强劲的出口水平,俄罗斯的北溪-2天然气管道正在以较快的速度进行建设,目前已完工30%以上。这条新管道将为德国增加550亿立方米的出口能力。
李峻 编译自 世界能源新闻
原文如下:
Russian Share of European Gas Growing
With gas supplies growing at a faster rate than domestic demand, Russia can increase pipeline and liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe, said a report.
Russia’s gas production has been steadily increasing since the low of 611 Bcm in 2015, and reached 695 Bcm in 2018, according to a report form Rystad Energy, an independent energy research and business intelligence company
Mature fields exhibit relatively high decline rates, but volumes from the recent start-ups and discoveries in Yamal, East Siberia and the Far East are expected to offset the decline. In 2018, Gazprom commissioned the third production facility at the Bovanenkovskoye field, increasing its plateau to 115 Bcm per year.
The company is also working on developing the Kharasaveyskoye field (plateau of 32 Bcm with approval expected in 2019) and the Semakovskoye field (plateau of 16 Bcm with approval expected in 2020).
Russian domestic gas demand is expected to increase from a level of 430 Bcm in 2018 to slightly above 440 Bcm by 2030. In line with growing production, gas exports have also shown an increasing trend.
Last year Gazprom exported approximately 202 Bcm of gas with most of these volumes heading to Europe. By 2030, pipeline exports have the potential to reach 270 Bcm as Gazprom increases its export pipeline capacity to Europe, Asia and the Middle East.
To support strong export levels in the future, work is being carried out at a brisk rate on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which is currently more than 30% complete.The new pipeline will add 55 Bcm of export capacity to Germany.