石油设备网讯 据Oil & Gas Journal网站4月1日休斯顿报道 在路透社报道俄罗斯对目前的减产水平越来越不安后，纽约市场的轻质、低硫原油价格上涨至3月29日周末，结算价回到60美元/桶以上。
路透社3月28日报道称，沙特很难说服俄罗斯在欧佩克领导的削减石油供应的协议中停留更长时间。消息人士告诉路透社，俄罗斯可能只同意在下次这些生产商会面时延长3个月。
欧佩克和包括俄罗斯在内的一些非欧佩克生产国于2018年12月同意从1月1日起减少120万桶/日的石油供应，为期6个月。这些生产商定于6月再次会面。
另外，美国总统特朗普在推特上表示，欧佩克应该增加产量。特朗普这样写道：“欧佩克增加石油产量非常重要。世界市场目前十分脆弱，石油价格上涨，谢谢你。”
第一季度石油价格上涨。《华尔街日报》3月调查的投资银行家提高了他们对2019年布伦特原油价格的预测，这主要受欧佩克领导的减产及其他因素支持。
据《华尔街日报》报道，银行家们预计，布伦特原油的平均价格将在2019年略高于68美元/桶。与2月份的预测相比，银行家们预测今年布伦特原油的平均价格为67美元/桶。
盛宝银行大宗商品战略主管Ole Hansen发布了一份研究报告，称第一季度是3年来大宗商品市场表现最好的一个季度。
Hansen 说：“依赖增长的能源和工业金属行业提供了大部分收益。股市飙升、欧佩克减产和中国的刺激措施有助于支撑能源和工业金属行业的强劲季度。”
王磊 摘译自 Oil & Gas Journal
原文如下：
NYMEX oil price ends week back above $60/bbl
Light, sweet crude oil prices on the New York market increased to end the week of Mar. 29 with a settlement back above $60/bbl after Reuters reported Russia was growing uneasy with existing production cut levels.
Reuters reported on Mar. 28 that Saudi Arabia is having a hard time convincing Russia to stay much longer in the OPEC-led pact cutting oil supply. Sources told Reuters that Russia might agree only to a 3-month extension next time those producers meet.
OPEC and some non-OPEC producers, including Russia, agreed in December 2018 to reduce oil supply by 1.2 million b/d from Jan. 1 for 6 months. Those producers are scheduled to meet again in June.
Separately, US President Donald Trump tweeted that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries should increase production. “Very important that OPEC increase the flow of oil. World markets are fragile, price of oil getting too high. Thank you,” Trump wrote.
Oil prices rose during the first quarter. Investment bankers surveyed in March by the Wall Street Journal raised their forecast for Brent crude oil prices in 2019, supported by OPEC-led production cuts and other factors.
WSJ reported bankers expect Brent will average just above $68/bbl for 2019. That compared with a forecast from February in which bankers forecast $67/bbl average for Brent for the year.
Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank head of commodity strategy, issued a research note saying the first quarter was the best in 3 years for commodities.
“Growth-dependent sectors of energy and industrial metals that provided most of the gains,” Hansen said. “Surging stock markets, OPEC production cuts, and Chinese stimulus helped to support a strong quarter for the energy and industrial metal sectors.”
