石油设备网讯 据OGJ网4月12日休斯敦报道,美国能源安全分析公司(ESAI能源)日前发布的市场预警显示,俄罗斯4月份原油日出口量将达到570万桶的多年高点,比前5个月的平均原油日出口量高出40万桶。
正如过去几年俄罗斯出口的波动所显示的那样,伴随着异乎寻常的高出口,俄罗斯原油流入亚洲的流量也在增加。
俄罗斯国有石油巨头俄罗斯石油公司(Rosneft)麾下的图阿普谢炼油厂的意外扩建在一定程度上引发了俄罗斯原油出口的异常飙升。
据ESAI Energy估计,由于推迟恢复炼油,4月份将有60万桶/天的蒸馏产能停产。国内原油需求下降将释放更多原油用于出口,对海运乌拉尔原油数量的影响最大。
ESAI能源主管安德鲁里德指出:“原油出口的任何飙升都将影响乌拉尔原油从俄罗斯欧洲港口流向亚洲。”
为了寻找市场,俄罗斯原油出口商通常将这些过剩的原油运往亚洲。
李峻 编译自 OGJ
原文如下:
ESAI Energy: Russian crude exports to reach a multiyear high
Russian crude exports will reach a multiyear high of 5.7 million b/d in April, 400,000 b/d higher than average exports in the previous 5 months, according to a market alert released by ESAI Energy.
As the past few years’ fluctuations in Russian exports have shown, uncommonly high exports are accompanied by greater flows of Russian crude into Asia.
The unusual jump in exports has been triggered in part by the unplanned extension of maintenance at Rosneft’s Tuapse refinery. Due to the delayed resumption of refining, 600,000 b/d of distillation capacity will be offline in April, according to ESAI Energy estimates. Lower domestic crude demand will free up more crude for export, having the biggest impact on seaborne Urals volumes.
“Any spike in crude exports will impact the flow of Urals from Russia’s European ports to Asia,” ESAI Energy Principal Andrew Reed noted.
“In search of a market, exporters of Russian crude generally ship these excess barrels to Asia.