石油设备网讯 据ZAWYA网奥斯陆5月14日消息 挪威修订的国家预算周二显示，由于欧洲天然气产量预期下降，挪威上调了今年和明年的天然气出口价格预期。
与2018年相比，其出口价格仍将下降，但目前预计将维持在高于去年10月最初2019年预算的水平。
该国2019年天然气平均价格预测上调了0.15挪威克朗至每立方米2.20克朗(合0.2519美元)。2020年的预测提高到每立方米1.85克朗，也比之前的预测增加了0.15克朗。
尽管由于全球LNG供应增加，预计天然气价格将同比下降，但挪威表示，受欧洲天然气产量削减的限制，天然气价格下降幅度将小于此前的预测。
修订后的预算称:“由于美国出口增加，未来几年全球液化天然气供应增加，预计将有助于降低欧洲市场的天然气出口价格。”
“由于欧洲天然气产量可能下降这一事实，价格下跌可能会受到限制......估计价格将向上调整。”
未来，挪威预计其天然气出口价格将从2021年至2025年回升，因为全球液化天然气供应增长放缓，原因是该国对液化天然气工厂的投资减少。
从2026年起，挪威预测长期价格为每立方米1.93克朗。
修订后的预算显示，挪威2019年和2020年的天然气产量预期没有明显变化。
吴慧丹 摘译自 ZAWYA
原文如下：
Norway raises gas export price estimates for 2019 and 2020
Norway has increased its gas export price estimate for this year and next on an expected decline in European gas production, the country's revised state budget showed on Tuesday.
Its export price is still set to fall compared with 2018 but is now expected to hold at a higher level than last October's original 2019 budget estimates.
The country's average gas price estimate for 2019 was raised by 0.15 Norwegian crowns to 2.20 crowns ($0.2519) per cubic metre. The estimate for 2020 was raised to 1.85 crowns per cubic metre, also up by 0.15 crowns from the previous forecast.
Despite expectations for lower gas prices year on year because of higher global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies, Norway says the decline will be smaller than previously forecast, limited by cuts in European gas production.
"Increased supply of LNG globally over the next few years, as a result of increased exports from the United States, is expected to contribute to lower export gas prices in the European market," the revised budget said.
"The price decline is likely to be limited by the fact that gas production in Europe is likely to fall ... Estimates are adjusted upwards."
Further ahead, Norway expects its gas export prices to pick up from 2021-2025 as LNG supply growth falls globally because pf lower investment in LNG plants.
From 2026 Norway forecasts a long-term price of 1.93 crowns per cubic metre.
There were no significant changes in Norway's expected gas production for 2019 and 2020, the revised budget said.
