石油设备网讯 据普氏能源资讯2019年5月15日伦敦报道，德国莱茵集团（RWE）旗下的子公司RWE供应和贸易公司负责创意和天然气供应的首席商务官安德里•斯特拉克在本周在阿姆斯特丹举行的Flame大会上表示，到2030年前，欧洲天然气发电需求的峰值可能会增加39%。
斯特拉克表示：“欧洲未来10年天然气发电需求将显著增加”，RWE供应和贸易公司对欧洲2030年天然气发电需求的预测相当于每年600亿至800亿立方米。
这个预测与RWE供应和贸易公司对2030年欧洲天然气总需求的预测相比较，后者预测为2270亿立方米/年，预计降幅为21%，同时还设定了1780亿-2750亿立方米/年的预估区间，而这一预测代表了最有可能的情景。
斯特拉克说：“从煤炭到天然气的转换是欧洲天然气发电需求增加的唯一途径。我们已经在从煤炭转向天然气的过程中，这个过程在过去两年中已经发生了。”
李峻 编译自 Platts
原文如下：
Peak gas-to-power demand in Europe could rise 39% by 2030: RWE
Peak gas-to-power demand in Europe could rise as much as 39% by 2030, according to Andree Stracke -- chief commercial officer for origination and gas supply at RWE Supply and Trading -- who addressed the Flame conference in Amsterdam this week.
In what Stracke said was a "significant increase in gas-to-power demand over the next 10 years", RWE's forecast for gas-fired generation in 2030 equates to 60-80 Bcm/year.
The forecast compared with RWE's projections for overall European gas demand in 2030, which amounted to 227 Bcm/year -- an anticipated drop of 21% -- while also setting an estimated range of 178-275 Bcm/year, with the forecast representing the most likely scenario.
"Coal-to-gas switching is the only route to demand growth in Europe. We are already the process of switching from coal to gas, and this has happened over the last two years," Stracke said.
"[We saw] peak demand in gas in 2010, after that gas [offtake] went down significantly until 2016. Carbon prices also fell. Now, on the forward curve ... we see an overlap between coal and gas is getting closer and closer. Over the last two years, the price of carbon has risen. It has seen a significant increase."
