石油设备网讯 据离岸工程5月22日消息称，全球燃料油市场2017年估值为1372.1亿美元，预计到2025年将达到2730.5亿美元，在预测的2018-2025年期间，该市场的年复合增长率为9.4%。
联合市场研究公司(Allied market Research)发布的一份报告称，近海油气勘探活动的增加，以及进出口活动的增加导致的海上贸易增长，都对全球燃料油市场的整体增长做出了贡献。
然而，政府对燃料油(如残余燃料油)的严格管制，限制了市场的增长。残余燃料油含有硫和氮等污染物，足以扰乱海洋生命周期。
相反，印度和中国等新兴经济体的市场参与者扩大燃料油业务，将为市场创造有利可图的机会。
到2025年，船用轻柴油(MGO)部分的年复合增长率将是最快的。石油巨头板块将继续占据主导地位，而大型独立板块将在研究期间见证最快的增长。到2025年，北美将成为增长最快的地区。
2017年剩余燃料市场份额最大，达到60%，并将保持到2025年的主导地位。这是因为这种燃料比替代燃料MGO更便宜，因此被航运公司广泛用于运输船只。
然而，从2018年到2025年，船用轻柴油(MGO)的年复合增长率将达到14.5%，是最快的。这是由于国际海事组织（IMO）为了减少海洋污染而对海洋燃料中硫的使用实行环境管制，导致越来越多地使用船用轻柴油作为替代海洋燃料。
2017年，石油巨头占据了41.5%的最大份额，并将在2025年保持其收入领先地位。这是因为它涉及世界各地的海洋燃料贸易以及海洋燃料的生产。
到2025年，大型独立燃料箱的年复合增长率将达到9.9%，这是因为这些分销商在全球主要地区(包括亚太地区(新加坡)、中东地区(阿联酋)、欧洲地区(鹿特丹)、美洲地区(美国海湾)进行船用燃料贸易，这些地区约占全球燃料箱总销量的60%
从区域来看，2017年亚太地区占据了46%的市场份额，并将在2025年之前占据主导地位，这主要归功于世界主要商品消费中心在该地区的存在。然而，到2025年，北美的CAGR将达到10.2%，是最快的，这是由于该地区海上化工产品贸易的增长，以及对塑料原料需求的激增。
曹海斌 摘译自 离岸工程
原文如下：
Bunker Fuel Mkt to Reach $273bln by 2025
The global bunker fuel market, which was valued at $137.21 billion in 2017, is expected to reach $273.05 billion by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period, 2018-2025.
Increased offshore hydrocarbon exploration activities in offshore destinations and growth in marine trade due to rise in import-export activities contribute to the overall growth of the global bunker fuel market, said a report published by Allied Market Research.
However, stringent government regulations regarding the use of bunker fuel such as residual fuel oil (RFO) containing pollutants such as sulfur and nitrogen that are capable enough to disturb the marine life cycle restrain the market growth.
Conversely, expansion of bunker fuel business by the market players in emerging economies such as India and China would create lucrative opportunities for the market.
Marine gas oil (MGO) segment would witness the fastest CAGR through 2025. Oil majors segment to remain dominant while large independents segment would witness the fastest growth through the study period. North America to grow the fastest through 2025.
The residual fuel segment was the largest in 2017, holding a market share of 60% and would maintain its dominance through 2025. This is because the fuel is cheaper than alternative fuel MGO and so is widely used by shipping companies in their transport vessels.
Nevertheless, the marine gas oil (MGO) segment would witness the fastest CAGR of 14.5% from 2018 to 2025. This is due to the environmental regulation imposed by the international maritime organization (IMO) on the use of sulfur in the marine fuel in order to reduce the marine pollution, leading to the growing use of MGO as alternative marine fuel.
The oil majors segment grabbed the largest share of 41.5% in 2017 and would maintain its revenue lead throughout 2025. This is because it is involved in trading of marine fuel across the world as well as the production of marine fuel.
The large independents segment would witness the fastest CAGR of 9.9% through 2025 because these distributors trade marine fuel across the main regions in the world including Asia Pacific (Singapore), Middle East (UAE), Europe (Rotterdam), Americas (US gulf), which are responsible for around 60% of all bunker sales globall
Regionally, Asia-Pacific grabbed 46% of the overall market share in 2017 and would dominate the market through 2025. This is due to the presence of world's major commodity consumption centers in this region. However, North America would register the fastest CAGR of 10.2% through 2025, owing to rise in sea borne trading of chemical products as well as surge in need for plastic feedstock in the region.
