石油设备网讯 据离岸工程5月23日消息称，雷斯塔能源表示，2022年后，全球海上油田服务市场的年增长率可能会减半。
雷斯塔公司预测，服务市场的年增长率将从2019年至2022年的7%放缓至2022年至2025年的3%。
油田服务研究主管奥敦•马丁森在评论这些数字时表示：“在很大程度上，离岸市场的最终结果将取决于欧佩克是否会在俄罗斯的帮助下，决定在未来几年采取认真措施稳定市场。如果该集团决定控制生产以保护大宗商品价格，离岸市场的势头可能会继续。否则，离岸复兴政党似乎注定要在2022年结束。”
他加了：“油价上涨的主要原因是最近的上游消费热潮,符合这个行业的周期性的性质——这些投资增加生产很快就会帮助把油价的下行压力，而这反过来又会破坏2020年后的油田批准活动。”
曹海斌 摘译自 离岸工程
原文如下：
Offshore field sanctioning nears peak
The annual growth rate in the global offshore oilfield services market will likely be halved after 2022, according to Rystad Energy.
The independent energy research and consultancy headquartered in Norway with offices across the globe forecasts that the service market will slow from 7% annual growth per year in 2019-2022 to only 3% from 2022 to 2025.
Commenting on the numbers, Audun Martinsen, Head of Oilfield Service Research, says:“Just how things ultimately play out in the offshore market will depend to a large extent on whether OPEC, with help from Russia, will decide to take serious measures to stabilize the market over the next years. If the group decides to rein in production to protect commodity prices, momentum in the offshore market could continue. If not, the offshore renaissance party seems destined to come to an end in 2022.”
He added:“Higher oil prices were a primary cause of the recent upstream spending spree and – in keeping with the cyclical nature of this industry – the added production from those investments will soon help to put downward pressure on oil prices, which in turn will undermine field sanctioning activity post-2020.”
