石油设备网讯 据路透社5月29日报道称,自2018年第三季度以来,全球制造业和贸易量一直在减速,而这种放缓已开始体现在汽油和柴油等中间馏分油的消费疲软上。
根据摩根大通全球采购经理人指数的新出口订单分项显示,全球制造商报告称自去年9月以来,出口订单连续8个月下降。
荷兰经济政策分析局的数据显示,全球贸易量在去年10月见顶,此后一直在以2009年以来最快的速度收缩。
对制造业和贸易流量的每一项实时指标都表明,在过去九个月中出现了非常急剧的放缓。
集装箱运输量正在下降。航空货运量正在下降。铁路货运正在萎缩。由于需求不足,航运公司正在取消航行。
由于大多数汽油和柴油用于货运、制造、采矿、油气开采和农业,因此馏分油是是受商业周期影响最大的产品。
与去年同期相比,经合组织3月份的汽油和柴油库存下降不到2%,第一季度同比下降不到4%。
徐蕾 摘译自 路透社
原文如下:
Global economic slowdown hits diesel consumption
Global manufacturing and trade volumes have been decelerating since the third quarter of 2018 and the slowdown is starting to show up in sluggish consumption of middle distillates such as gasoil and diesel.
Global manufacturers have reported falling export orders for eight months since September, according to the new export orders component of the JP Morgan global purchasing managers’ index.
World trade volumes peaked in October and have since been contracting at the fastest rate since 2009, according to the Netherlands Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis.
Every real-time measure of manufacturing and trade flows points to a very sharp slowdown over the last nine months.
Container shipments are falling. Air cargo is down. Rail freight is shrinking. And shipping lines are cancelling voyages owing to lack of demand.
Distillates are the most heavily exposed to the business cycle since most gasoil and diesel is used in freight transportation, manufacturing, mining, oil and gas extraction and farming.
OECD stocks of gasoil and diesel were down by less than 2 percent in March compared with the same month a year earlier, and by less than 4 percent in the first quarter compared with the same period in 2018.