石油设备网讯 据OGJ网站6月5日休斯顿报道，根据全球著名商业信息提供商IHS Markit的10年产量预测，加拿大油砂产量增加速度正在放缓，但IHS Markit预计到2030年前，加拿大油砂总产量将达到近400万桶/天，比目前水平高出近100万桶/天。
这家商业信息提供商预计，在未来10年里，加拿大油砂日产量的平均同比增幅将不到10万桶。相比之下，加拿大过去10年的油砂平均日产量增加超过15万桶。
IHS Markit副总裁凯文 伯恩表示，加拿大西部地区缺乏管道产能再加上油价不稳，这些因素阻碍了对油砂的大规模新增投资。
伯恩说：“大型油砂项目往往需要2年、3年、4年甚至更长时间才能投产，因此加拿大油砂投资和产量增加速度放缓的现实正在形成。
IHS Markit还预计，加拿大未来油砂产量的增加将主要来自现有项目和设施，而不是新项目。李峻 编译自 OGJ
原文如下：
IHS Markit: Canadian oil sands production growth to slow
Canadian oil sands production growth is slowing, yet total production is expected to reach nearly 4 million b/d by 2030—nearly 1 million b/d more than current levels—according to a 10-year production forecast by [http://www.ihsmarkit.com%29/]IHS Markit.
The business information provider expects average year-on-year supply additions will be less than 100,000 b/d in the coming decade. By contrast, growth over the current decade averaged additions of more than 150,000 b/d.
Lack of pipeline capacity and oil price insecurity in western Canada discouraged new large-scale incremental investments in the oil sands, said Kevin Birn, vice-president, IHS Markit.
“Large-scale oil sands projects take 2, 3, 4 or more years to be brought online and so the reality of a slower pace of investment and growth in the Canadian oil sands is taking shape,” Birn said.
IHS Markit also anticipates that future oil sands production growth will mostly come from existing projects and facilities rather than new projects.
