石油设备网讯 据路透社7月11日伦敦报道，欧佩克周四预测，随着竞争对手泵出更多的原油，明年全球对其原油的需求将下降，这表明尽管欧佩克牵头达成了限制供应的协议，但仍会出现盈余。
对欧佩克原油需求的下降突显出，欧佩克通过减产来支撑油价的政策正在持续提振美国页岩和其他竞争对手的供应。
石油输出国组织(欧佩克)在月度报告中给出了2020年的首次预测，称明年世界将需要14个成员国每天2927万桶原油，比今年减少了134万桶。欧佩克称，“美国紧张的原油产量预计将继续增长，因为新管道将允许更多二叠纪原油流入美国墨西哥湾沿岸出口中心。”。
欧佩克在报告中还预测，尽管全球主要经济体增长放缓，但世界石油需求将与今年同步增长，世界经济也将以今年的速度增长。
孙子舒 编译自 路透社
原文如下，
OPEC sees lower 2020 demand for its oil, points to surplus
OPEC on Thursday forecast world demand for its crude will decline next year as rivals pump more, pointing to the return of a surplus despite an OPEC-led pact to restrain supplies.
The drop in demand for OPEC crude highlights the sustained boost that OPEC's policy to support prices by supply cuts is giving to U.S. shale and other rival supply. .
Giving its first 2020 forecasts in a monthly report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said the world would need 29.27 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude from its 14 members next year, down 1.34 million bpd from this year.
"U.S. tight crude production is anticipated to continue to grow as new pipelines will allow more Permian crude to flow to the U.S. Gulf Coast export hub," OPEC said, using another term for shale oil.
OPEC in the report also forecast that world oil demand would rise at the same pace as this year and that the world economy would expand at this year's pace, despite slower growth in the main countries.
