石油设备网讯 据海上石油新闻网11月12日伦敦报道，全球风力发电市场规模从2010年的716亿美元增加到了2018年的964亿美元。根据全球领先数据分析公司GlobalData公布的数据，在2019-2030年的预测期内，亚太地区(APAC)的新增海上风力发电产能预计将推动全球市场，而全球市场规模2030年前将增加到1246亿美元。
GlobalData日前发表的题为《风电市场，更新的2019年——全球市场规模、平均价格、涡轮机市场份额以及到2030年的关键国家分析》的最新报告透露，中国去年在海上风电产能增加和累计风电装机容量方面均处于全球领先地位。
报告还发现，在2019年至2030年期间，海上风力发电将越来越受欢迎，在总发电产能中所占的份额也将增加。
GlobalData行业分析师Harshavardhan Nagatham表示：“亚太地区是全球最大的风电装机容量市场，2018年累计装机容量为262.2吉瓦。欧洲和北美的累计装机容量也相当可观，2018年分别达到了大约200吉瓦和100吉瓦。南美、中美洲、中东和非洲地区的海上风电产能较小，但预计在2019-2030年期间将实现增长。然而，中国和美国届时将继续占据主导地位。”
2018年，中国安装的风电产能超过了20吉瓦，使其累计风电产能超过了200吉瓦。在国际减排压力不断加大的情况下，中国将继续在预测期内每年新增大约20吉瓦的风电装机容量，到2030年底前将达到400吉瓦以上的累计装机容量。
Nagatham补充说：“迄今为止，陆上风力发电一直是风力发电领域的主导技术，相比之下，海上风力发电设施微不足道。随着一些国家已经在进行的大规模海上设施建设，这种情况将发生重大变化。”
Nagatham 说：“中国、英国和德国将在2019-2030年期间引领全球海上风电设施建设。全球各机构的共同研究和开发努力有望降低安装海上风力发电场的成本。”
Nagatham总结说：“德国和英国在2015-2018年期间增加了大量的海上风电产能，德国2015年的年度新增海上风电产能高达2.3吉瓦，英国2017年的年度新增海上风电产能为1.7吉瓦。两国将在2019年至2030年期间大幅增加海上风电产能。中国在2010-2018年期间增加了海上风电产能，并将在2019年至2030年期间将每年新增1-3吉瓦。
另一方面，美国目前没有任何有效的海上风电产能，但预计在2023-2030年期间，美国将每年增加1-2吉瓦的海上风电产能。
李峻 编译自 海上石油新闻
原文如下：
China, UK, Germany to propel offshore wind market
Global wind power market size increased from $71.6 billion in 2010 to $96.4 billion in 2018. During the 2019-2030 forecast period, capacity additions in the Asia/Pacific (APAC) region are expected to drive that market, increasing the market size to $124.6 billion by 2030, according to GlobalData.
The company’s latest report, ‘Wind Power Market, Update 2019 – Global Market Size, Average Price, Turbine Market Share, and Key Country Analysis to 2030’, revealed that China was the global leader in terms of both capacity additions and in terms of cumulative wind capacity in 2018.
The report also found that offshore wind power will gain popularity and increase its share of total capacity during 2019-2030.
Harshavardhan Reddy Nagatham, Industry Analyst at GlobalData said: “The APAC region was the largest market in terms of cumulative installed wind power capacity with 262.2 gigawatts (GW) in 2018. Europe and North America also had significant cumulative capacities with around 200 GW and 100 GW, respectively, in 2018. The South and Central America and Middle East and Africa regions had smaller capacities but are expected to see growth during 2019-2030. However, China and the US will continue to dominate.”
China installed over 20 GW of wind power capacity in 2018, taking its cumulative capacity to over 200 GW. With mounting international pressure to cut emissions, China will continue to add large wind power capacities of around 20 GW each year during the forecast period to reach over 400 GW cumulative capacity by the end of 2030.
Nagatham added: “onshore wind power has been the dominant technology in the wind power space so far, and offshore installations have been miniscule in comparison. This is set to change significantly with a few countries’ large-scale offshore installations that are already under way.
“China, the UK, and Germany will lead the way in offshore installations during 2019-2030. The concerted research and development efforts of various bodies globally are expected to drive down the cost of installing offshore wind farms.”
Nagatham concluded: “Germany and the UK have had significant offshore capacity additions during 2015-2018 with annual additions as high as 2.3 GW in Germany in 2015 and 1.7 GW in the UK in 2017. Both countries will make large offshore capacity additions between 2019 and 2030. China has had increasing offshore capacity additions during 2010-2018 and will add 1-3 GW each year between 2019 and 2030.
“The US on the other hand doesn’t have any significant offshore capacity currently, but is set to add 1-2 GW of offshore wind capacity each year during 2023-2030.”
