石油设备网讯 据油气新闻网12月14日报道，欧佩克表示，预计2023年全球石油需求将强劲增长。
欧佩克在一份月度报告中表示，2023年世界石油需求将增加225万桶/日，增幅约为2.3%。
在经历了一系列下调之后，该预测自11月以来保持稳定。
欧佩克在报告中表示，尽管全球经济不确定性很高，主要经济体的增长风险仍倾向于下行，但可能抵消当前和未来挑战的上行因素也已经出现。
在报告中，欧佩克将其2022年的经济增长预测小幅上调至2.8%，2023年的经济增长预测稳定在2.5%。该报告列出了包括大宗商品价格疲软在内的上行来源。
欧佩克表示，上行潜力——或者至少是平衡因素——可能来自美联储成功实现美国经济软着陆，以及大宗商品价格持续走软和东欧紧张局势的解决。
今年3月，地缘政治冲突爆发后，油价已接近每桶147美元的历史高点，目前油价已经扭转了2022年的大部分涨幅。周二，原油交易价格约为80美元。
该报告还显示，在经济前景恶化和价格疲软的情况下，更多的Opec+盟国承诺大幅减产以支持市场后，欧佩克11月产量下降。
11月，随着油价走弱，Opec+同意将其产量目标削减200万桶/天，这是自2020年疫情初期以来的最大降幅。欧佩克的减产份额为127万桶/天。
欧佩克在报告中称，其11月日产量较10月减少74.4万桶，至2883万桶，主要出口国沙特阿拉伯和伊拉克等其他大型产油国引领减产。
郝芬 译自 油气新闻网
原文如下：
Opec sees robust global oil demand growth in 2023
Opec has said it expected to see robust global oil demand growth in 2023 。
World oil demand in 2023 will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 2.3%, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) said in a monthly report.
The forecast was steady from November, after a series of downgrades.
"Although global economic uncertainties are high and growth risks in key economies remain tilted to the downside, upside factors that may counterbalance current and upcoming challenges have emerged as well," Opec said in the report.
In the report, Opec nudged up its 2022 economic growth forecast to 2.8% and left 2023 steady at 2.5%. The report listed sources of upside including commodity price weakness.
"Upside potential – or at least counterbalancing factors – may come from the US Federal Reserve successfully managing a soft landing in the United States, as well as from a continued easing of commodity prices and a resolution of the tensions in Eastern Europe," Opec said.
Oil prices, which came close to the all-time high of $147 a barrel in March after the war, have unwound most of their 2022 gains. Crude was trading around $80 on Tuesday.
The report also showed that Opec's production dropped in November after the wider Opec+ alliance pledged steep output cuts to support the market amid the worsening economic outlook and weakening prices.
For November, with prices weakening, Opec+ agreed to a 2 million bpd reduction in its output target - the largest since the early days of the pandemic in 2020. Opec's share of the cut is 1.27 million bpd.
In the report, Opec said its output in November fell by 744,000 bpd from October to 28.83 million bpd, led by top exporter Saudi Arabia and other large producers such as Iraq.
